Cost of $600 weekly payout – Dr. Trippers Stuff

how much to giver every legal citizen of the USA $600 a week per year

To calculate how much it would cost to give **every legal U.S. citizen $600 per week for a year**, we need:

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### **Step 1: Find the number of legal U.S. citizens**
– As of 2024, the **U.S. citizen population** is estimated to be around **335 million** total people.
– Of that, approximately **92%** are U.S. citizens →
> **335 million × 0.92 ≈ 308 million citizens**

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### **Step 2: Multiply by $600 per week**
– $600 per week × 52 weeks = **$31,200 per citizen annually**

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### **Step 3: Multiply by total citizens**
– $31,200 × 308 million =
> **$9.6 trillion per year**

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### ✅ Final Answer:
**It would cost approximately $9.6 trillion per year** to give every legal U.S. citizen $600 per week.

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>💡 That’s nearly **twice the entire U.S. federal budget** (~$6 trillion) and over **1/3 of the U.S. GDP**. To make it work, you’d either need massive taxation, money printing, or a seriously lean and restructured economy.
the $600 per month
Ah, got it — **$600 per *month*** instead of per week. Much cheaper.

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### **Step 1: U.S. legal citizen population**
Still approximately **308 million** (92% of ~335 million).

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### **Step 2: Monthly payment**
– $600/month × 12 months = **$7,200/year per citizen**

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### **Step 3: Multiply by population**
– $7,200 × 308 million =
> **$2.22 trillion per year**

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### ✅ Final Answer:
**Roughly $2.22 trillion per year** to give every legal U.S. citizen $600/month.

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>💡 That’s about **1/3 of the total federal budget**, and *just a bit more* than the U.S. spent on Social Security (~$1.4 trillion in 2023). Still massive, but theoretically doable with major budget adjustments or new revenue sources.
Tarrifs are expected to bring in, with the current import deals trump has made, is expecvted to be?

Here’s what current projections show about **tariff revenue under Trump’s import deals and new tariffs**:

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## 💰 Annual Revenue Estimates

### 🧾 Short-Term (2025)
– As of mid‑2025, the U.S. has collected about **$108 billion** in customs duties (tariffs), nearly **double** fiscal year 2024 totals citeturn0search11turn0search12turn0news31.
– Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent projects revenue could reach **up to $300 billion by year-end** citeturn0news31turn0news26.

### 🔭 Decade Horizon (2026–2035)
– According to **The Budget Lab at Yale**, current 2025 tariffs are expected to generate **$2.7 trillion** in revenue over 2026–35 on a conventional score, with potential **dynamic (real-world) contributions** trimmed to **$2.3 trillion** after economic feedback effects citeturn0search1turn0search2.
– The **Penn Wharton Budget Model** estimates Trump’s tariffs (as of April 8, 2025) could raise **$4.5–5.2 trillion over 2025–2034**, with conventional figures reduced by macroeconomic effects citeturn0search8.
– **Tax Foundation** projections for hypothetical universal tariffs:
– **10% tariff** → $2.2T (conventional) or $1.7T (dynamic) over 2025–2034,
– **15%** → $2.9T (conventional) / $2.2T (dynamic),
– **20%** → $3.4T / $2.6T respectively citeturn0search14.

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## 📊 Summary Table

| Time Period | Conventional Revenue | After Economic Feedback |
|———————–|———————-|————————–|
| Calendar year 2025 | ~$108B → projected up to $300B | n/a |
| 2026–2035 (Budget Lab) | $2.7T | $2.3T |
| 2025–2034 (Penn Wharton)| $4.5–5.2T | $4.5T (or $4.5 T minus some corrections) |
| 2025–2034 (Hypothetical 15% tariff) | $2.9T | $2.2T |

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## 🧠 Takeaways & Caveats

– Short-term revenue is already elevated with customs duties projected to approach **$300 billion in 2025** citeturn0news31turn0news26.
– Estimates converge around **$2.3–2.5 trillion** in net dynamic revenue over the next decade if current policies stay in place citeturn0search1turn0search2.
– Some analysts, like those relying on the Penn Wharton model, present higher revenue prospects—up to **$4.5 trillion** or more over 10 years—but they also predict larger economic drag from tariffs citeturn0search8.
– **Peter Navarro’s claim** of $6 trillion in tariff revenue is widely disputed by economists and independent fact-checkers as overly optimistic citeturn0search16.

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## Final Verdict

As of **mid‑2025**, nearly **$108 billion** has been collected in **U.S. tariff revenue**, with projections reaching **$300B** by year-end. Over the next decade, **$2.3T to $2.5T** of net revenue appears realistic under current policy, though some models offer higher (but riskier) estimates up to **$4.5T** or more.

Let me know if you’d like a breakdown by country, sector, or impact on consumer prices!

navlistRecent tariff‑revenue newsturn0news31,turn0news26,turn0news24
Does this factor in the new chip facility in Texas, the reigniting or our manufacturing ans automobile, energy and tourism revenues?

Let’s break that down: **no**, the long-term tariff revenue projections we discussed do **not** explicitly factor in localized developments such as new Texas chip plants, the revival of auto manufacturing, or increases in energy and tourism revenues. Those broader trends might indirectly influence import volumes and investment behavior—but mainstream models treat tariffs in isolation.

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### 🔍 Tariff Models Focus on Trade Policy, Not Investment Projects

Major estimates (like those from Yale’s Budget Lab or Penn Wharton) calculate revenue based on tariff rates and import volumes, without layering on:

– New **U.S. fabrication plants** reducing reliance on foreign chips
– Growth in **automobile, energy, or tourism** ⁣sectors

These are seen as separate economic flows—not direct sources of tariff revenue.

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### 🏭 How the Texas Chip Facilities Tie In

Take **Texas Instruments** as an example:

– TI has launched a new 300 mm analog waiver fab in Richardson and plans tens of billions in U.S. expansion citeturn0search0turn0news18turn0news24.
– While these facilities help produce domestically (reducing future chip imports), **they don’t generate tariff revenue**.
– In fact, analysts warn tariffs are already slowing demand, delaying orders and raising equipment costs—despite increased domestic buildout citeturn0news22turn0search6turn0search16.

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### 🚘 Auto & Energy Manufacturing — Again, Not Directly in the Spreadsheet

Similarly, reviving U.S. auto plants or boosting energy and tourism income:

– **Boosts GDP and tax receipts**, sure.
– **But doesn’t increase tariffs**, which only apply to imported goods. Most renewed auto production is still sold domestically or exported—not taxed at the border.

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### 💡 Broader Impacts: Offsetting Gains vs. Tariff Drag

In truth, ramped-up domestic manufacturing may **reduce import volume**, potentially lowering tariff revenue long term. And sectors like autos and tourism are unlikely to face new tariffs. That makes the net benefit a complicated balance:

– More economic activity **could increase overall tax revenue**—but also reduce the tariff base.
– Tariffs on intermediate goods (like chip tools or car parts) may raise costs, dampening demand for both imports and U.S.-made goods, which could **reduce GDP growth and tax income** over time citeturn0search5turn0search16.

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### ✅ TL;DR Summary

In short: tariff revenue projections are driven by import taxes—not by domestic investments or sectoral rebounds. So while a chip plant in Texas boosts US production, it doesn’t appear in tariff revenue estimates. Let me know if you’d like a side-by-side of tariff model assumptions versus domestic investment scenarios.
I went overboard with the last question. I mean, since we are building more in the USA – autos and chips, do we count that toward increased tarrif revenue
Nope — **building more in the U.S.** (like autos or chips) actually **reduces** tariff revenue, not increases it.

Here’s why:

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### 🎯 Tariffs Only Apply to Imports

Tariffs are taxes on **foreign goods entering the U.S.** If you:
– Build a chip plant in Texas
– Make Fords in Michigan
– Assemble solar panels in Arizona

…those products are **domestically produced** → **no tariff** applied.

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### 🧮 So What Happens?

– **More U.S. production** = **fewer imports**
– **Fewer imports** = **lower tariff revenue**
– **But…** the economy might still grow from that reshoring, generating **more income and corporate taxes** — just **not** tariff dollars

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### ⚖️ Irony Alert

Tariffs are supposed to *encourage* domestic production…
…but if they succeed too well, **they shrink the taxable (imported) base** and your **tariff revenue declines** over time.

It’s like taxing cigarettes — it pays well *until* people quit smoking.

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### TL;DR:

– **Domestic production does *not* count toward tariff revenue**
– In fact, it usually means **less tariff revenue in the future**
– That’s a trade-off: **less dependence**, more **self-sufficiency**, but **less import tax cash**

Want a breakdown on how this affects federal revenue as a whole (tariffs vs. income/corporate/other taxes)?